It’s still mighty early to be shouting about favorable ski season forecasts and predicting what the weather gods may or may not bring for winter 2021-22, but the current ENSO research hints at La Niña conditions taking shape. Based on sea surface temperatures being near-to-below average in the central and east-central equatorial Pacific, forecasters have increased the likelihood (~70% probability) that La Niña will reemerge by early winter, thus a La Niña Watch is in effect. Let the powder dreams begin . . .
Need a refresher on La Niña vs. El Niño and what they mean for your ski season? Check out La Niña, El Niño and your ski season for an explanation of the El Niño Southern Oscillation – ENSO and how it influences the ski season forecast.
For a deep dive into the current ENSO climate picture, check out the NOAA Climate Prediction Centers ENSO blog August 2021 ENSO update: Rockin’ out of neutral?